Archive: 10/06/2008

Main News
 
Let It Flow The financial-market rescue package is a step in the right direction, but further steps are necessary to get credit flowing again.
http://online.barrons.com/article/SB122307299515103623.html?mod=djemWR
 
Hypo Real Gets EU50 Billion Government-Led Bailout (Update1)
Bloomberg - 3 hours ago
 
The Bailout, and a Keen Eye on Fixed IncomeAN INTERVIEW WITH PETER R. FISHER: The former U.S. Treasury undersecretary offers a unique perspective on the government's bailout plan.
http://online.barrons.com/article/SB122307288928203577.html?mod=djemWR
 
"Fear gauge" at record high in interbank lending market
 
Are you ready for the future?
By Odette Gregory
September 25, 2008 12 PM
Seven hundred billion dollars in equity is not a lot of money. Take $700 billion and attempt to boost balance sheets for b...
 
TRS changes hedge fund investment platform
US - The Teacher Retirement System of Texas has switched its platform for hedge fund investments a week after writedowns rocked Wall Street and the state's largest pension fund lost US$145m in Lehman Brothers stock.
 
Fund of hedge funds down 6.4% through August
The "fund-of-hedge-funds" industry is facing serious question marks over its future business model after it was down 6.4% for the year through the end of August, compared with a 4.9% fall for hedge funds, as per data from Hedge Fund Research.  (The Wall Street Journal)
http://mail.efnmail.co.uk/r/402626/MTk4MTI1OjE4ODY4/
 
Thank you for your interest in yesterday’s credit crisis discussion, The Credit Crisis: How We Got Into the Current Mess and How We Can Get Out with Nouriel Roubini of RGE Monitor, Barry Ritholtz of Fusion IQ and Zach Gast of RiskMetrics Group.
http://www.riskmetrics.com/webcasts/2008credit_crisis_mess
 
The Pain on Main
 
Negative ReinforcementThe Buffet barometer.
http://online.barrons.com/article/SB122307337756703725.html?mod=djemWR
 
Norinchukin to Buy Stake in Crédit Agricole
Wall Street Journal - USA
As of June 30, the bank had subprime mortgage-related exposure of ¥281 billion. It is also the largest holder among Japanese banks of bonds issued by Fannie ...
 
Industry Risk – New Offer to Measure the Risk of Mortgage Portfolio Losses during Complicated Times
Utilizing a distance to default measure, new analysis provides what is in essence a dynamic and timely alternative to a credit rating of the asset as an up-to-date measure of credit risk.
Full Story...
UBS Exit Concentrates Commodities in Fewer Hands
By: Reuters
Posted: 10/03/2008 4:59:19 PM ET
http://www.hedgeworld.com/news/read_news.cgi?section=dail&story=dail15304.html

Hedge funds prey on rivals
Oct 02 2008 23:34
Hedge funds are embracing trading strategies designed to profit from the unwinding of large positions by their competitors, market participants say - an activity that stems from the wave of redemptions hitting hedge funds Read more »
 
What Makes Goldman Tick?The making of Goldman Sachs. Plus, Philanthro-Capitalism.
http://online.barrons.com/article/SB122307353968403761.html?mod=djemWR
 
Sarkozy Says EU Will Support Banks, Seek Hedge Fund Regulations
Bloomberg - USA
The officials, meeting in Paris at a summit today convened by French President Nicolas Sarkozy, also called for regulations on hedge funds, credit-rating ...
 
Hedge funds share emerging markets pain
Hedge funds focusing on Russia and China have been unable to avoid the heavy losses suffered by mainstream investors because long/short managers have lacked the confidence to take short positions.
http://mail.efnmail.co.uk/r/403037/MTk4MTI1OjE4ODgy/
 
Volatility tests the equities machine
"An absolute machine" is how Bob Diamond, chief executive of Barclays Capital described the Lehman Brothers US cash equities business during a conference call after acquiring the "extremely profitable" business on September 17.
http://mail.efnmail.co.uk/r/403048/MTk4MTI1OjE4ODgy/
Hedge Fund Redemptions: Let the Bloodbath Begin by Market Folly
 
Hedge Fund Tracking: Harbinger Capital (Philip Falcone) by Market Folly
 
Zero-Baseline Datapoint of the Day by Felix Salmon
 
Why the Bailout Bill Alone Won't Solve the Credit Crisis by Felix Salmon
 
Why the Bailout Cannot Solve a Thing: Nobody Is Blaming the Right Culprit by Enzio von Pfeil
 
The Bailout Plan Still Has a Fatal Flaw by Markham Lee
 
Not Much Fun Now With the Fund of Funds
The market turmoil may reshape what is known as the "fund-of-hedge-funds" industry.
 
The Short View: Hedge funds
Financial Times Fri, 03 Oct 2008 8:01 AM PDT
Wall Street’s eyes are on Washington, but there are increasingly anxious glances towards Greenwich, Connecticut, the capital of hedge fund land. Hedge fund accidents have been remarkable for their absence throughout the crisis.
 
Hedge fund strategies in focus
Managed futures and global macro
http://mail.efnmail.co.uk/r/403055/MTk4MTI1OjE4ODgy/
 
THE MIGHTY HAVE FALLEN
By KAJA WHITEHOUSE
Hedge funds are suffering their worst year in a decade. It's so bad the industry has taken on a new saying: "Flat is the new 15" - meaning a return of zero in these tough times is just as good as a return of 15 percent in normal times. And...full story
 
Financial Crisis: Hedge funds hit by stock market turmoil
Telegraph.co.uk - United Kingdom
The hedge fund industry is braced for a raft of defections after equity funds suffered one of their worst monthly performances on record. ...
 
Market chaos batters hedge-fund star
CNNMoney.com - USA
Instead, they're reeling from the most brutal month in hedge-fund history. Greenlight's $2.2 billion offshore fund lost 11.5% in September, according to ...
 
Hedge funds gird for SEC disclosure fight
guardian.co.uk - UK
Still the loosely regulated $1.9 trillion hedge fund industry, which relies on selling stocks short to beat its mutual fund cousins' returns, is chafing at ...
 
Hedge fund demands Deutsche Boerse chairman's head
Market Watch Fri, 03 Oct 2008 3:06 AM PDT
German stock exchange operator Deutsche Boerse says Friday it’s received a letter from hedge fund The Children’s Investment Fund seeking the removal of its chairman, Kurt Viermetz.
 
Reporter's Notebook: Bailout Bill a Feat in Sausage-Making
FOXNews - USA
Then came another tip: Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke were coming to the Capitol. This was strange enough. ...
 
Frank Words from a Battered Hedge Fund Manager
New York Times Fri, 03 Oct 2008 6:33 PM PDT
TPG-Axon , a hedge fund run by a former Goldman Sachs trader, spared no words when writing its investors about September.
 
Cash is new hedge fund king
Financial Times - London,England,UK
Hedge funds are carrying record levels of cash, underscoring how recent volatility has made it more difficult for funds to exploit attractive investment ...
 
FALCONE'S WACHOVIA SHORT BET
By TERI BUHL
While most traders who make their living betting financial sector stocks will decline have been forced to the sidelines in recent weeks because of the Securities and Exchange Commission ban on shorting, one trader who foresaw weakness in Wachovia in...full story
 
Hedge Pride - An open Letter to the Financial Times From Simon Ruddick, Managing Director of Albourne
Friday October 03, 09:15 BST
 
Short shrift
Financial Times - London,England,UK
By James Mackintosh What do you say to a hedge fund manager who can’t hedge? ‘Quarter pounder and fries, please.’ The gallows humour doing the rounds of ...
 
 Ainslie, Einhorn, Stock Hedge Funds Post Record Drops (Update1)
 http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=&sid=anpijpx6lpec
 
ANGRY CREDITORS BLAME MORGAN FOR LEHMAN COLLAPSE
By IAIN DEY and DANNY FORTSON, The Times of London
JP Morgan has been accused by its Wall Street rivals of dealing the final blow that forced Lehman Brothers into collapse. The banking giant is alleged to have frozen $17 billion of cash and securities belonging to Lehman on the Friday night...full story
 
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Yield Curve Corner
 
Depression offers lessons for financial crisis
Forbes - NY,USA
That expert was Ben Bernanke, a former Princeton University professor and an expert on causes of the Depression. He's now the chairman of the Federal ...

Deflation May Be Next Threat as Commodities, Asset Markets Sink
Bloomberg - USA
By John Fraher Oct. 6 (Bloomberg) -- As Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his global colleagues fight the worst financial crisis since the 1930s, ...
 
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Natural Disaster Corner
 
http://www.noaa.gov/
http://www.sec.noaa.gov/Data/index.html
http://tsunami.gov/
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/
Satellite Images
Hurricane Models
NHC Hurricane Tracks
Climate Prediction  http://www.nws.noaa.gov/predictions.php
World Meterological Organization http://severe.worldweather.org/
Tornadoes: http://www.disastercenter.com/tornado.htm
Great Sat Pictures of events: http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Current/DSTsaskatchewan277_G12.jpg
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Iranian Situation and Other Man Made Disasters
http://www.globalincidentmap.com/home.php
http://icasualties.org/oif/
 
A New Approach to Iran?
Time Magazine Sat, 04 Oct 2008 12:02 PM PDT
France is a key U.S. ally in confronting Iran's nuclear program. But many in Paris, and Washington, believe that solving the problem requires direct U.S.-Iranian talks
 
U.S. shelves plan for office in Iran, AP reports
CNN Sat, 04 Oct 2008 11:20 AM PDT
WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Bush administration has shelved plans to set up a diplomatic outpost in Iran, in part over fears it could affect the U.S. presidential race or be interpreted as political meddling, The Associated Press has learned.
 
US group granted rare approval to set up office in Iran
AFP via Yahoo! News Fri, 03 Oct 2008 6:40 AM PDT
The United States has granted rare approval to a US-based group to establish an office in Iran, the State Department said Thursday, stressing however that US policy towards the Islamic republic has not changed.
 
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Opalesque’s Corner
 
- Opalesque Exclusive: Real estate HF manager David Michelson on the FDIC, the US housing market and the real estate market: ` the pendulum swung too far on the greed side and now it`s going too far on the fear side`, Commercial property derivatives: A fair point to start trading?
- Fund launches - Opalesque Exclusive: Natixis launches two hedge fund beta replication funds with AlphaSimplex, Taylor A. M. launches small-cap equities hedge fund, Pequot vet Gregory Spiegel readies Riptide Capital, a L/S hedge fund, Ex-Bear VP Paul Arrouet prepares Marble Gate, a distressed hedge fund, Ex-Mormon church money manager opens the Coraticum fund, a L/S equity fund, Harcourt eyes pure distressed FoF, London startup Jubilee Financial seeks seeder for loan funds, Startups have no choice but to wait out fundraising trickle
- Closures - Laurus Capital shuts $800m PIPE portfolio after $300m redemption request
- Performance - Opalesque Exclusive: HiQ Invest Market Neutral Fund lost 26.5% in September, Och-Ziff Master Fund down 5.35% in September, -5.74% YTD, est. AUM down $2.6bln, Goodwood`s funds lost 16% in September, -32% YTD, Big hedge funds suffer big losses in September: Third Point, Maverick, Citadel, Maverick, Greenlight, the Children`s Investment Fund decline as stock hedge funds post record losses, Short sales pumped up T2 Partners` September gains, up 15.6%, Opinion: Hedge funds heading for rocks
- Indices - Newedge performance indices, September: Short-term trades index up 2.12% (11.3% YTD), CTA index up 0.06%, 3.52% YTD
- Strategies - Hedge funds prey on rivals, Cash is new hedge fund king, Short-selling on U.S. states can pay off
- The market turmoil may reshape the fund-of-hedge-funds industry as assets are shrinking
- Investors - Aviva Investors to boost hedge fund-style products, believes investor interest will survive crisis, Watson Wyatt urges clients not to invest in hedge funds now, Extraordinary opportunities to invest (video), Niche investing: When stocks tank, some investors stampede to Alpacas and turn to drink
- M&A - Mitsubishi UFJ buys 9.9% stake in Aberdeen
- Short Selling Bans Update - Short-selling `math geek` Matthew Paschke covered in blame, Grizzly Fund up 41% YTD, Hedge funds score a victory in short-selling rules: SEC will not disclose data to public, MFA continues to urge Commission to amend the order to include an exemption for bona fide hedging transactions
- Lehman Update - Salida Capital freezes three funds that used Lehman as broker, GLG Partners has $95m Lehman exposure, Hedge funds continue appeal of Lehman sale approval, BofA sues Lehman units over collateral
- Credit Crunch Update - Slowdown fears: US, European, Asian stocks down, Investors pull out of commercial paper market, Goldman executives restrained from stock sales in Buffett deal, JPMorgan fires excutives at WaMu, Update: UBS slashes 2,000 more jobs, Ernst & Young on standby to act as receiver for collapsed SIV vehicle Sigma, Fed loans to banks, dealers, AIG soar to $410bln
- Bailout Plans Update - Bailout bill content: From TARP to tax breaks, House to vote on rescue proposal this afternoon, Ross bailout plan (video), AXA CEO on bailout (video), MFA applauds Senate passage of Economic Stabilization Act, France proposes Eur240bln European bailout plan, Sarkozy retreats from EU-wide Eur300bln rescue
- Legal - Court grants Brian Hunter appeal against FERC
- Prime Brokers - NY Fed steps in to stop Deutsche Bank`s poaching of HF clients from Goldman and Morgan Stanley, Pershing investors nervous about assets held by Goldman Sachs
- Institutions - Iowa `in no hurry` to fund hedge funds
- People - John Thain to head investment banking at BofA, Clear Asset Management creates sales team
- Europe - IAM expands to mainland Europe with the opening of an office in Stockholm, Northern Rock sees surge in deposits following B&B`s nationalization and HBOS` government takeover, Brown attacks Irish bank guarantee, Brussels approves rescue of German bank Hypo Real Estate
- Africa - Novare hedge fund survey October 2008: South African hedge fund AUM increased to $3.6bln over 12 months to June 2008, Huge hedge funds inflow `possible` for South Africa
- Asia - Chinese sovereign wealth fund CIC hires specialist Felix Chee to advise on hedge fund allocations, Performance report on China onshore hedge funds, August 2008, Interview: US bailout package may not be enough, China could prove to be a strong defence for the world, Vietnam has `zero exposure to toxic assets,` says fund manager
- Opalesque Exclusive: S&P placed 57 hedge funds on hold last month, then reinstated some
- Offshore Jurisdictions - Don`t blame the Cayman Islands for being attractive, Isle of Man welcomes City layoffs with open arms
- Exchanges - CME Group reports second highest volume month ever in September, averaging 15.7m contracts per day, LSE shares fall after Credit Suisse cuts rating
- Environmental Investing - Despite price erosion, solar market reaches $100bln in 2013
- Commodities -Read Opalesque`s free daily commodities publication, the Opalesque Commodities Briefings
- Read Opalesque`s new free daily Real Estate publication, the Opalesque Real Estate Briefing
- Tech Update - FinAnalytica focuses on downside risk budgeting with new CognityFoF release
- Events - How I Became A Quant: Berkeley on 6th October, Los Angeles on 7th October
- Activist News - Update: TCI seeks removal of Deutsche Boerse chairman
- News Briefs - CAIAA opens registration for March 2009 level I and II examinations, Markets in China, South Korea, Indonesia closed for holidays today, Australia`s Ellerston GEMS fund to delist in wake of shareholder vote, SunGard White Paper: Addressing the ever increasing need for system performance
- ...And Finally - Shocker: Kids` cereals found loaded with sugar - but wait, it`s worse than you think: Kellogg`s Honey Smacks is 55% sugar
- Logon: http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=archive
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Misc. Items of Interest
 
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Funnies, Facts, Quotes, etc….
 
rubicund ROO-bih-kund, adjective:
Inclining to redness; ruddy; red.
 
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Conference, Courses, Books, Papers
 
Great Research Sites:
http://www.highbeam.com/
http://www.dealbreaker.com/
http://seekingalpha.com/
www.riskmterics.com
http://www.allaboutalpha.com/blog/
 
Merrill Lynch research Link to full report including important disclosures see example
http://rsch1.ml.com/9093/24013/ds/78763025.PDF
 
John Mauldin’s Weekly Analysis
www.frontlinethoughts.com
 
James Altucher’s Website:
www.stockpickr.com
 
Other useful sites:
www.flyonthewall.com
www.gloriamundi.com
www.wilmott.com
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Index Corner
 
The CSFB/Tremont Hedge Fund Index www.hedgeindex.com.
The Cogent Dynamic Averages http://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asphttp://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asp
The Dow Jones Indices: http://www.djhedgefundindexes.com/index.cfm?event=viewPremiumContent (free registration)
HFRX Indices https://www.hedgefundresearch.com/hfrx_reg/index.php?fuse=login&1170880431
http://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asp
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Regulatory Info
 
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
Division of Enforcement: +1 866-FON-CFTC
http://www.cftc.gov/enf/enfform.htm
http://www.cftc.gov/enf/enfform.htm
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
e-mail: enforcement@sec.gov
http://www.sec.gov/complaint.shtml
http://www.sec.gov/complaint.shtml
Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF)
Ombudsman's office: +33 (0)1 5345-6464
French: http://www.cob.fr/affiche_page.asp?urldoc=mediateur.htm&lang=fr&Id_Tab=0
English: http://www.cob.fr/affiche_page.asp?urldoc=mediateur.htm&lang=en&Id_Tab=0
http://www.cob.fr/affiche_page.asp?urldoc=mediateur.htm&lang=en&Id_Tab=0
Financial Services Authority (FSA)
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumer/01_WARNINGS/scams/mn_scams.html
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumer/01_WARNINGS/scams/mn_scams.html
Financial Ombudsman Service: 0845 080 1800, outside the UK: +44 (0)20 7964 1000
complaint.info@financial-ombudsman.org.uk
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumer/01_WARNINGS/scams/mn_scams.html
Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC)
http://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.html
Investor Hotline: 852-2840-9333
investor.info@sfc.hkhttp://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.htmlhttp://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.htmlhttp://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.html
 
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Disclaimer
 
The information contained in this document does not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell any security or other type of vehicles to or by anyone in any jurisdictions, nor should it be regarded as a contractual document. Under no circumstances should the information provided on this document be considered as financial advice, or as a sufficient basis on which to make investment decisions. The information contained herein has been gathered by Investor DNA, LLC from sources deemed reliable as of the date of publication, but no warranty of accuracy or completeness is given. Investor DNA, LLC is not responsible for and provides no guarantee with respect to any of the information provided herein or through the use of any hypertext link. Past results are no indication of future performance. All information in this newsletter is for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute investment, legal, tax or accounting advice. All materials are the property of the respective publishers, as referenced by header and appropriate hypertext links.
 


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