Archive: 08/22/2008

Main News

 

Paulson Risks Goldman Standard as Fannie, Freddie Shares Erode
Bloomberg - USA
So he turned to Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, whose support would be critical to convincing skeptical Democrats to back the plan. During one of their weekly ...

 

 

Hedge Investors on Cautious Tack in Choppy Markets
By: Reuters
Posted: 08/21/2008 11:22:12 AM ET
http://www.hedgeworld.com/news/read_news.cgi?section=dail&story=dail15210.html

 

Analysis: Private Equity to Beat Hedgies to Distressed Assets
By: Reuters
Posted: 08/21/2008 9:51:13 AM ET
http://www.hedgeworld.com/news/premium/read_news.cgi?section=peop&story=peop3576.html

 

 

From the desk of Dick Fuld, Lehman Brothers CEO

 

Credit Apocalypse Now
Top economist sees a big bank failure in the coming months. Read More

 

Subprime Mortgage Bonds Lead `Extinct' Credits, Moody's Says
Bloomberg - USA
21 (Bloomberg) -- Subprime mortgage-backed bonds lead credit products rendered ``extinct'' by the collapse of the US housing market, according to Moody's ...

 

Global Market Brief: Sorting Out China's Economic Conundrum
August 21, 2008 1509 GMT
Two divergent paths for China's economy have emerged, and the government has been involved in an internal struggle over which path to take.
http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/global_market_brief_sorting_out_chinas_economic_conundrum

 

Few Speculators Dominate Vast Market for Oil Trading
(By David Cho, The Washington Post)

 

Wednesday , 20 Aug 2008
Frank Holmes of US Global Investors feels that the downturn in commodity prices has been overdone with commodities and stocks due a considerable rally.

 

Weekly Economic Update
Hot And Cold<http://app.en25.com/e/er.aspx?s=795&lid=6650&elq=DEBDD095FFA941108E23EBC7827A42C7>
While economic data remains cold, inflation for July was hotter than hoped. Both headline and core prices were much stronger than expected, and a concern. However, with commodity prices on the retreat in August, the report is unlikely to spook the Fed into raising rates. S&P believes the next move will be upward, but probably not until spring and almost certainly not until after the election. Additionally, S&P expects the dollar to stabilize in its recent range, perhaps heading to $1.45/euro early next year, which will take further pressure off the Fed. The stronger dollar is helping push oil prices lower, but the main driver is the weaker demand growth and the reversal of speculative flows as expectations of future increases diminish.

 

49 Ratings Lowered On 11 U.S. CDOs Of ABS; $4.441 Billion In Issuance Affected<http://now.eloqua.com/e/er.aspx?s=795&lid=6660&elq=DEBDD095FFA941108E23EBC7827A42C7>

 

334 Ratings From 46 U.S. Subprime RMBS Transactions Lowered; 295 Ratings Affirmed<http://now.eloqua.com/e/er.aspx?s=795&lid=6661&elq=DEBDD095FFA941108E23EBC7827A42C7>

 

It’s a year since the credit crunch began and still there is no end in sight to the bloodletting. Euromoney looks at the prospects for bankers facing this unprecedented downturn as traditional alternative employment avenues struggle to pick up the slack...

 

Hedge fund Andor Capital to close down: report
MarketWatch - USA
By Simon Kennedy LONDON (MarketWatch) -- US hedge fund Andor Capital Management will close down and return money to investors, according to a report in the ...

 

Who Needs A Hedge Fund Anyway?
CNBC - Englewood Cliffs,USA
By Albert Bozzo Senior Features Editor | 20 Aug 2008 | 11:38 AM ET “Institutions have taken over the hedge fund space," says Morningstar analyst Nadia Van ...

 

 

 

By MARK DeCAMBRE

Major US investment banks are seeing a lot less junk in their trunks this year - and as it turns out, that's a bad thing. Underwriting volume this year for high-yield securities, known widely on Wall Street as junk debt, has sunk at firms...full story

 

U.S. Bank Losses Threaten U.K. Finances
Losses made by U.S. banks could affect the U.K. government's tax receipts, demonstrating the effects the credit crunch is having on public finances outside the U.S.Read more

 

China's ICBC emerges as world's most profitable bank
A resilient economy and the ability to sidestep the credit crisis helped Industrial and Commercial Bank of China become the most profitable bank in the world. ICBC's first-half earnings reached a record $9.42 billion. "This shows the rise of economic power in China," said Yuk Kei Lee, a Core Pacific-Yamaichi International analyst. "ICBC's earnings power has already overtaken other global giants, but we need time to see if this achievement can be sustained." Bloomberg (21 Aug.)

 

Germany puts sovereign funds under further scrutiny
German Chancellor Angela Merkel's cabinet has increased its scrutiny of sovereign wealth funds with the approval of a bill that would empower the government to prevent non-EU investments greater than 25% in German companies.  (The Times)
http://mail2.efnmail.co.uk/r/390609/MTk4MTI1OjE4Mzcx/


 

 

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Yield Curve Corner

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Natural Disaster Corner

 

World Meterological Organization http://severe.worldweather.org/

 

Climate resolutions 'having big impact'
Aug 20 2008 22:16
A coalition of investors and environmental groups claim climate change-related shareholder resolutions filed in the US this year achieved breakthrough results Read more »

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Iranian Situation and Other Man Made Disasters

 

Iran central bank issues own high denomination notes
AFP via Yahoo! News Thu, 21 Aug 2008 6:28 AM PDT
Iran's central bank has begun issuing its own high-denomination paper notes to replace the promissory notes issued by private banks which will now be banned, state media said on Thursday.

 

What Russia’s Moves on Georgia Could Mean for Iran
Newsweek Thu, 21 Aug 2008 10:47 AM PDT
Given Russia's moves on Georgia, it's time for the United States to rethink its policy toward Iran.

 

Russian, Swiss and Canadian firms bidding on Iran reactor projects
World Tribune Thu, 21 Aug 2008 9:21 AM PDT
NICOSIA — Iran plans to construct a series of nuclear reactors. A senior Iranian official said Teheran has signed contracts to establish six nuclear power plants by 2021. They said this was in addition to the Russian reactor at Bushehr, expected to begin operations by 2009.

 

GCC: Compares Iran To Israel
August 21, 2008 1548 GMT
Gulf Cooperation Council secretary-general Abdulrahman al-Attiyah compared Iran’s installation...
http://www.stratfor.com/sitrep/gcc_compares_iran_israel

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Opalesque’s Corner

 

- Opalesque Exclusive: As Congress investigates further regulatory oversight of SWF investing, Wall Street firms take a more proactive stance, Goldman Sachs hires lobbyist
- Fund Launches - Opalesque Exclusive: Quilvest to launch a non-equity FoHFs, the QSAM Diversified,  Penso Capital Markets to launch alpha risk overlay strategy this month, London`s Nau Capital to market macro fund, Update: Cohen & Steers launches Global Real Estate L/S offshore fund, Macquarie plans AUS$1bln mortgage fund
- Opalesque Exclusive: Advent launches Global Opportunity Strategy to take advantage of current dislocations in capital structure
- Closures - Andor Capital to shut down and return money to investors, co-founder Daniel Benton to retire, Gracie Capital redistributes 50% of assets of closed fund to investors
- Performance - Harbinger loses 5.8% MTD due to long energy, short financials trades, Thames River increase fee earnings thanks to its oldest hedge funds, RAB Special Situations may buy back shares after decline
- Assets - BlueCrest seeks assets for credit fund
- Distressed assets - Start-up HF Hildene to buy distressed products, Private equity to beat hedgies to distressed assets
- Niche Investing - Former UBS banker Jorge Mora starts wine fund
- Investment outsourcing for the hedge fund world will continue to grow
- Credit Crunch Update - Fannie and Freddie may need to raise as much as $100bln to cover potential mortgage losses, Comment: Years of soft regulation and lax management siphoned off investor value, Lehman failed to secure $5bln from Korean SWF, Analyst Brad Hintz slashes Q3 forecasts for Goldman, Morgan and Lehman, UBS chairman wants `radical transformation`, Bond kings on the credit crunch (video)
- Dr. Doom: Global recession will drive down energy prices by 30%
- A.R.S. Update - Cuomo steps up ARS probe of banks and brokerages, BofA, Goldman and Deutsche Bank face more ARS scrutiny
- Regulatory - Third Point`s Daniel Loeb under SEC probe, defends communication practices with other hedge funds, UNI Finance welcomes Euopean Parliament`s draft report on hedge funds and private equity calling for new regulation, Taiwan deregulates ETF business
- Institutions -  BBC`s pension scheme to increase alternatives allocation, MassPRIM allocates $540m to three portable alpha FoHF managers
- People - BlueCrest seeks four credit derivatives traders, State Street appoints David Puth to lead investment research, securities finance and trading activities worldwide
- Europe -  UK retail demand for hedge funds is outstripping supply, Gartmore targets Germany, Gartmore reveals consumer shorts, Harcourt to get Swiss license, Lipper: European ETF assets under management up 3.2% to Eur110.9bln in Q2
- Africa - Old Mutual alternatives unit buys a quarter of credit management services group Real People
- Asia - Sumitomo to liquidate FoHF advisory platform Sumisho Capital Management on 1st September, Samsung Securities plans alternative-investment desk in Singapore, ICBC set for world record profit
- Emerging Markets - EM performance up, inflows down: HFR, Comment: The wild card of political risk in EM investing, Buyout groups warned on EM assets
- Commodities - Goldman reiterates $149 per barrel end-2008 oil forecast
- Environmental - Carbon funds grow in 2008 but slowed by uncertainty
- Tech Update - Electronic trading will oil the wheels of covered bonds, Archway Technology and M.S. Howells & Co. form strategic alliance to launch new portfolio reporting platform
- Activist News - Holders fight Natixis rights issue, Elliott Associates takes 9.9% stake in software firm Epicor, explores `strategic alternatives`
- News Briefs -  TCW named one of the `best places to work` in Los Angeles, US survey finds consumers adapting credit card behavior to meet current market conditions, New accord ends legal battle between CBOT and CBOE, Woman who sued Caxton-Iseman pleads guilty to theft, Nymex Holdings removed from Dow Jones Global Exchanges Index
- ...And finally: Bizarre advertisements
- Logon: http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=archive

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Misc. Items of Interest

 

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Funnies, Facts, Quotes, etc….

 

juju JOO-joo, noun:

1. An object superstitiously believed to embody magical powers.
2. The power associated with a juju.

 

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Conference, Courses, Books, Papers

 

Great Research Sites:

 

Merrill Lynch research Link to full report including important disclosures see example

 

John Mauldin’s Weekly Analysis

 

James Altucher’s Website:

 

Other useful sites:

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Index Corner

 

The CSFB/Tremont Hedge Fund Index www.hedgeindex.com.

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Regulatory Info

 

 

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Disclaimer

 

The information contained in this document does not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell any security or other type of vehicles to or by anyone in any jurisdictions, nor should it be regarded as a contractual document. Under no circumstances should the information provided on this document be considered as financial advice, or as a sufficient basis on which to make investment decisions. The information contained herein has been gathered by Investor DNA, LLC from sources deemed reliable as of the date of publication, but no warranty of accuracy or completeness is given. Investor DNA, LLC is not responsible for and provides no guarantee with respect to any of the information provided herein or through the use of any hypertext link. Past results are no indication of future performance. All information in this newsletter is for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute investment, legal, tax or accounting advice. All materials are the property of the respective publishers, as referenced by header and appropriate hypertext links.

 

 

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