Archive: 02/20/2008

Main News
 
Credit Suisse's CDO headache
CNNMoney.com - USA
The bank's $2.85 billion charge traces back to highly-rated CDOs traded in London whose valuation was questioned by auditors, sources say. ...
 
Arcane Market Is Next to Face Big Credit Test
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/17/business/17swap.html?_r=3&hp=&oref=slogin&pagewanted=all&oref=slogin
 
Banks "quietly" borrow $50 billion from Fed: report
February 19, 2008 05:47 AM ET
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Banks in the United States have been quietly
borrowing "massive amounts" from the U.S. Federal Reserve in
recent weeks, using a new measure the Fed introduced two months
ago to help ease the credit crunch, according to a report on
the web site of The Financial Times.
http://links.reuters.com/r/YMQP2/Q8Y2E/QXQPM/TTKKW/LC8ND/YT/t
 
Interview – David Kotok, Sleepless in MuniLand
Over the past several weeks, the contagion emanating from the collapse of the market for complex structured assets that contain subprime mortgages has shaken the municipal bond market, one of the safest and most stable parts of the US financial system.
Full Story...
 
S&P, Moody's slammed for downgrade delays
The ratings agencies dispute that the downgrades are being delayed, even as they give beleaguered bond insurers time to raise capital. 
» Read the Full Story
 
BlackRock: 'No truth' to rumors of subprime-related losses or exposure
Forbes - NY,USA
'In its fourth-quarter earnings release, the company disclosed $12 million of impairment charges related to CDO seed investments, which represented a ...
Northern Rock Upgraded To 'A' On Nationalization; Off Watch Dev; Preference Shares Cut To 'C'
The rating actions on U.K. bank Northern Rock PLC (A/Positive/A-1) follow the announcement by the U.K. government that Northern Rock will be nationalized through legislation. The government concluded that the takeover proposals from the Virgin-led consortium and Northern Rock's management offered insufficient value to taxpayers, and that a period of temporary public ownership was a preferable outcome. The government intends to sell the bank to a private sector buyer once financial market conditions have stabilized.
To learn more, click or copy and paste the URL below:
http://standardandpoors.rsys1.net/servlet/cc5?kHiQAAACQTVsLgHxhilpuHQJhuV2VR
 
Global Macro,' the Strategic Sequel
Wall Street Journal - USA
Last year, global macro funds rose more than 17% on average, according to Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index. These funds gained 1.7% on average in ...
 
PBGC says goodbye to LDI
The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. is abandoning its 4-year-old liability-driven investment policy, reallocating almost $15 billion to equities and alternative investments.
 
New index gauges sovereign funds
Worried about sovereign wealth funds? You’re not alone, according to financial website breakingviews.com. “Critics … worry that SWFs tend to be secretive, target political as well as financial...
 
The method behind value guru ...
Lauren C. Templeton, the great-niece of legendary value investor Sir John Templeton, has put some of his most astute principles on paper.In a book scheduled to hit stores later this month, Ms....
... and tips from hedge fund gumshoe
Given the number of prominent hedge fund meltdowns, blowups and fraud convictions in recent years, many investors might derive peace of mind by accessing the expertise of a bona fide hedge fund detective before they invest in a fund.
 
MSCI Barra says  <http://www.hedgefund-index.com/newstoday.asp> to launch hedge fund index for Asia
Source: Reuters
 
 <http://www.hedgefund-index.com/s_marketrisk.asp> Assessing Market Risk for Hedge Funds and Hedge Funds Portfolios
by Francois Serge Lhabitant
We suggest an empirical model to analyze the investment style of individual hedge funds and funds of funds. Our approach is based on a mixture of the style analysis approach suggested by Sharpe (1988), the factor push approach used in stress testing, and historical simulation. An interesting and straightforward extension of this model is the estimation of value-at-risk (VaR) figures... More... <http://www.hedgefund-index.com/s_marketrisk.asp>
 
Platinum still on the rise as speculators boost prices
Tuesday , 19 Feb 2008
The platinum price is still on the up as speculative buying adds to the industrial shortfall.
 
 Commodities Surge to Record as Inflation Concern Sparks Demand
 http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=atEnvMRClc7s
 
Thomson wins Euro approval for Reuters buy
The combination of Thomson and Reuters is expected to edge out Bloomberg in market share by 1%. 
» Read the Full
 
Lehman Patents Market Prediction Methods
by Jean-Claude Kommer
 
Government's Role in the Housing Problem
by Mark J. Perry
 
Real Estate Brokers Must Hate Economists
by Zubin Jelveh
 
Will 130/30 Funds Hold Water with Investors?
by Greg Boop
 
Surprising Results From Hedge Fund Replication Survey
by Christopher Holt
 
Shades of Amaranth: Firm Makes Wrong Bets on Gas Houston-based hedge fund energy firm Saracen Energy Partners lost money betting that natural gas prices would go down, according to a Dow Jones report. [more
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Yield Curve Corner
 
Bernanke Turns 10-Year Notes Into Losers as Refinancing Surges
Bloomberg - USA
19 (Bloomberg) -- The more Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke cuts interest rates, the less appealing 10-year Treasuries become to investors like Doug ...
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Natural Disaster Corner
 
http://www.noaa.gov/
http://www.sec.noaa.gov/Data/index.html
http://tsunami.gov/
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/
Climate Prediction  http://www.nws.noaa.gov/predictions.php
World Meterological Organization http://severe.worldweather.org/
Tornadoes: http://www.disastercenter.com/tornado.htm
Great Sat Pictures of events: http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Current/DSTmiddleeast050_N8.jpg
 
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Iranian Situation and Other Man Made Disasters
http://www.globalincidentmap.com/home.php
http://icasualties.org/oif/
 
Hezbollah Retribution: Beware the Ides of March
February 19, 2008 | 1613 GMT
 
Iran sentences journalist to death
AP via Yahoo! News Tue, 19 Feb 2008 12:37 PM PST
A journalist accused of involvement in a terrorist group in southeastern Iran has been sentenced to death, the judiciary said Tuesday.
 
Iran reinstates more candidates for election
AFP via Yahoo! News Tue, 19 Feb 2008 0:01 AM PST
Iran on Tuesday announced it reinstated 251 more candidates disqualified from parliamentary elections, bringing to over 831 the number of hopefuls reinstated after strict initial vetting caused uproar.
 
Iran: Oil price hikes boost currency reserves to 76 billion dollars in 2007
Adnkronos Tue, 19 Feb 2008 10:46 AM PST
Iran: Oil price hikes boost currency reserves to 76 billion dollars in 2007 (AKI) - Iran's currency reserves rose 4.29 percent in 2007 on the previous year to reach 76 billion dollars, the central bank, known as Bank Markazi, announced. Reserves have boosted by soaring world oil prices, which in late 2007 were close to 100 dollars a barrel. (19/02/2008 - 19:21:01)
 
INTERNATIONAL / MIDDLE EAST| February 13, 2008
Warmth for Americans in Once Hostile Tehran
By MICHAEL SLACKMAN
America’s image in the Middle East is as low as it has ever been. Yet generally speaking, Iranians like Americans — a sentiment that has become much more pronounced.
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Opalesque’s Corner
 
- Editor's Note
- Fund launches: Zeta Fund investment club plans spin-off of internal hedge funds, Juno Mother Earth founder departs to launch Vertus Capital Partners
- Philippe Jabre shuts down personal investment vehicle, moves assets to Jabre Capital Partners
- Citic Securities makes asset-management foray with a stake in VisionGain Capital
- Update: Dexion Absolute listed closed- end fund raises further $263m for hedge funds, Dexion concludes one fund raising, launches another, Asset management M&A and IPOs beat records in 2007, 2008 will be the same as investors demand alternative investments
- HFIM nominated for `Most Innovative Project` and `Best Newcomer` awards at the Hedge Funds World Awards, Middle East 2008
- Indices: EDHEC Alternative Indexes show contrasting fortunes for hedge funds during market turbulence, highest score for January is short selling (6.05%), lowest EM (-5.11%)
- Institutions: Waiting for the flood: At least $52bln in unallocated hedge fund cash waiting for a green light, U.S. pension body seeks riskier assets, will invest 10% in alternatives, Norwalk: New accounting rule proposal for more disclosure from corporate pension funds may drive them away from hedge funds
- Trends: Global Macro is making a comeback
- SocGen Update: SocGen chairman Daniel Bouton pins hopes on alliance with French post office, BNP hesitates over SocGen takeover move
- Credit Crunch Update: Credit crunch cost $3-4trn, JP Morgan officials say, US banks quietly borrow $50bln from Fed via new credit facility, Lehman sitting on pile of commercial real-estate loans, facing a write-down in the $1.3bln range, Credit Suisse re-prices certain asset-backed positions,  Update: UBS suspends London based wealth managers pending investigation
- Ambac in talks to split itself up, BofA analyst says bond insurer splits may lead to `years of litigation`
- People: P-Solve Asset Solutions adds three to investment advisory business
- Legal: Fraud suspect Amit Mathur rejects plea bargain
- Regulators: US SEC makes analyzing corporate performance easier for investors
- Commodities: China`s base metal prices may face downward pressure, Supplier instability helps push soft commodities to record highs, Tea prices to reach record levels in 2008
- Middle-East: S&P: Hot spot prospects for Middle East and North Africa as some returns exceed 50%
- Asia: Former top currency official says Japanese economy may slip into recession (again...), Economists expect snowstorm in China could hurt inflation more than expected, Beijing may ease up on credit tightening measures,
- Northern Rock Update: Hedge funds could lose up to GBP135m, U.K. ministers defend nationalization, Investors to face a hard fight for compensation
- Sovereign Wealth Funds: Qatar fund buys Credit Suisse stake, other targets may include UK bank, Japan`s governing party to study creation of sovereign wealth fund, Australia: Setting rules for sovereign wealth
- Activist News: Prominent hedge funds build up stakes in energy firms
- Books: Investigator tells investors how to check on hedge funds
- News Briefs: Equity trades defy economy as Wall Street transformers abound,  Pictet launches Latin America local currency debt fund, Citco to create 150 jobs in Irish expansion,  RBI clears branch licence of UBS, Dow Jones Indexes and Amman Stock Exchange launch new index,
- And Finally. China: Beijing`s subway passengers angered by car advert, Regulators now ban ghost stories to cleanse negative effect
- Logon: http://www.opalesque.com/main.php?act=archive
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Misc. Items of Interest
 
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Funnies, Facts, Quotes, etc….
 
abominate uh-BOM-uh-nayt, transitive verb:
To hate in the highest degree; to detest intensely; to loathe; to abhor.
 
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Conference, Courses, Books, Papers
 
Great Research Sites:
http://www.highbeam.com/
http://www.dealbreaker.com/
http://seekingalpha.com/
www.riskmterics.com
http://www.allaboutalpha.com/blog/
 
Merrill Lynch research Link to full report including important disclosures see example
http://rsch1.ml.com/9093/24013/ds/78763025.PDF
 
John Mauldin’s Weekly Analysis
www.frontlinethoughts.com
 
James Altucher’s Website:
www.stockpickr.com
 
Other useful sites:
www.flyonthewall.com
www.gloriamundi.com
 
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Index Corner
 
The CSFB/Tremont Hedge Fund Index www.hedgeindex.com.
The Cogent Dynamic Averages http://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asphttp://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asp
The Dow Jones Indices: http://www.djhedgefundindexes.com/index.cfm?event=viewPremiumContent (free registration)
HFRX Indices https://www.hedgefundresearch.com/hfrx_reg/index.php?fuse=login&1170880431
http://www.cogenthedge.com/home/inv_strategy.asp
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Regulatory Info
 
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
Division of Enforcement: +1 866-FON-CFTC
http://www.cftc.gov/enf/enfform.htm
http://www.cftc.gov/enf/enfform.htm
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
e-mail: enforcement@sec.gov
http://www.sec.gov/complaint.shtml
http://www.sec.gov/complaint.shtml
Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF)
Ombudsman's office: +33 (0)1 5345-6464
French: http://www.cob.fr/affiche_page.asp?urldoc=mediateur.htm&lang=fr&Id_Tab=0
English: http://www.cob.fr/affiche_page.asp?urldoc=mediateur.htm&lang=en&Id_Tab=0
http://www.cob.fr/affiche_page.asp?urldoc=mediateur.htm&lang=en&Id_Tab=0
Financial Services Authority (FSA)
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumer/01_WARNINGS/scams/mn_scams.html
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumer/01_WARNINGS/scams/mn_scams.html
Financial Ombudsman Service: 0845 080 1800, outside the UK: +44 (0)20 7964 1000
complaint.info@financial-ombudsman.org.uk
http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumer/01_WARNINGS/scams/mn_scams.html
Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC)
http://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.html
Investor Hotline: 852-2840-9333
investor.info@sfc.hkhttp://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.htmlhttp://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.htmlhttp://www.sfc.hk/sfc/html/EN/inutilbar/contact/contact.html
 
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Disclaimer
 
The information contained in this document does not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell any security or other type of vehicles to or by anyone in any jurisdictions, nor should it be regarded as a contractual document. Under no circumstances should the information provided on this document be considered as financial advice, or as a sufficient basis on which to make investment decisions. The information contained herein has been gathered by Investor DNA, LLC from sources deemed reliable as of the date of publication, but no warranty of accuracy or completeness is given. Investor DNA, LLC is not responsible for and provides no guarantee with respect to any of the information provided herein or through the use of any hypertext link. Past results are no indication of future performance. All information in this newsletter is for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute investment, legal, tax or accounting advice. All materials are the property of the respective publishers, as referenced by header and appropriate hypertext links.
 


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